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#13 LSU vs #20 Ole Miss: An SEC Battle to Watch

  • Writer: Mr. Hammer
    Mr. Hammer
  • Sep 29, 2023
  • 2 min read


As we delve deeper into the college football season, the SEC confrontations keep getting more intense. This week, the stage is set for a fierce battle as LSU squares off against Ole Miss. Both teams have displayed their strengths and vulnerabilities, making this matchup even more intriguing.


Why LSU Holds a Strong Chance

Dominant Passing Game: One of LSU's most potent weapons this season has been their aerial attack. Quarterback Jayden Daniels has consistently showcased his throwing prowess, racking up 320 or more passing yards in each of their four games. This prowess could pose a challenge for the Ole Miss defense, which recently gave up over 300 yards to Georgia Tech and saw Alabama complete a staggering 81% of their passes against them.

Furthermore, Ole Miss's recent trip to Tuscaloosa highlighted their challenges on third downs, which can be attributed to their offensive line's struggles in shielding against advancing defenses.


Ole Miss's Winning Formula

Stalwart Run Defense: Despite their challenges, Ole Miss's run defense has been commendable. Even when facing offensive powerhouses like Alabama, Georgia Tech, and Tulane, they've managed to restrict their opponents to fewer than three yards per carry. This resilience is even more impressive considering the defense's time on the field—about 36 minutes per game.

Third Down Efficiency: Success on third downs can often be a game-changer. When Ole Miss manages to keep the chains moving, their performance significantly improves. Historically, they've been 13-1 in their last 14 games when converting 44% or more of their third-down attempts. LSU, under Brian Kelly, has a 2-5 record when allowing offenses to convert 40% or more of their third-down attempts.


The Game's Deciding Factors

Third Down Conversions: Based on historical data and recent performances, third-down conversions will play a crucial role in this matchup. Ole Miss's success heavily depends on their ability to maintain offensive drives, while LSU's defense will be keen on disrupting this rhythm.

Time of Possession: While Ole Miss has been known for its quick-strike capability, time of possession could be a key factor. The more LSU's Daniels holds onto the ball and dictates the pace, the harder it will be for Ole Miss to employ their game plan.


Prediction: Ole Miss 38 LSU 34

Bet to take: Ole Miss +120



 
 
 

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